Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.052155 0.056672 0.061252 0.066235 0.071497 0.076882 0.082800
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043807 0.050289 0.057105 0.064782 0.073158 0.081994 0.091993
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037742 0.045576 0.054094 0.063980 0.075077 0.087085 0.101000
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034653 0.043738 0.053905 0.066009 0.079913 0.095273 0.113410
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031535 0.041516 0.052991 0.066977 0.083382 0.101838 0.123992
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028845 0.039519 0.052103 0.067774 0.086503 0.107918 0.133995
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025890 0.036930 0.050278 0.067254 0.087914 0.111902 0.141511
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024057 0.035572 0.049806 0.068242 0.091029 0.117832 0.151287
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021777 0.033451 0.048223 0.067717 0.092195 0.121362 0.158179
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020123 0.032021 0.047400 0.068042 0.094325 0.126004 0.166381
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019014 0.031234 0.047334 0.069267 0.097535 0.131943 0.176163
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018621 0.031397 0.048492 0.072061 0.102732 0.140355 0.189023
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016365 0.028804 0.045874 0.069863 0.101563 0.140926 0.192362
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014846 0.027170 0.044471 0.069198 0.102312 0.143863 0.198630
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013557 0.025783 0.043327 0.068815 0.103378 0.147177 0.205374
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013223 0.025834 0.044210 0.071203 0.108122 0.155217 0.218131
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012554 0.025308 0.044224 0.072362 0.111223 0.161163 0.228281
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011869 0.024705 0.044085 0.073279 0.113985 0.166680 0.237916
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010862 0.023496 0.042980 0.072771 0.114773 0.169605 0.244233
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010330 0.023046 0.042989 0.073837 0.117707 0.175350 0.254208
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009454 0.021933 0.041923 0.073295 0.118382 0.178095 0.260299
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008849 0.021251 0.041489 0.073645 0.120280 0.182457 0.268505
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008494 0.020994 0.041703 0.074944 0.123505 0.188599 0.279066